Earnings Season Is Underway

Two of our companies reported solid results this morning, giving our Buy List an excellent start to the 4Q21  earnings season. Now that the market smoke has cleared a little, let’s take a slightly closer look at the numbers and Wall Street’s response:

3M (MMM) reported $2.31 per share in earnings, down 4% from the comparable year-ago period but 12% above what analysts were braced to see. Admittedly, a lower effective tax rate was a boost, but management is still squeezing bottom-line results out of what amounts to flat sales. Inflation hasn’t been as big a drag on gross margins as feared and CEO Mike Roman had encouraging things to say about a strong December. While he held off on providing a 2022 outlook before February, he does expect growth this year . . . especially if inflation is peaking.

The stock recovered nicely after a tough market day, making me suspect it’s going to take a lot of negativity to keep it down. There’s room on the upside here. Buy MMM under $175. My target is $200.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) earned more straightforward applause, jumping nearly 3% today on less ambiguously constructive results. Earnings per share came in at $2.13, up 14.5% from last year, and sales surged 12.3% . . . roughly in line with expectations.

Management is looking to raise the top line 7.7% this year and translate that energy into 9.2% earnings growth. That’s a pleasant surprise to many on Wall Street, implying an extra $0.30 in profit per share in the coming year above consensus. Provided long-term interest rates do not go sharply higher, I look for the stock to continue to do well in a world where investors favor traditional value names with appreciable growth. JNJ is a buy below $162. My target is $180.